Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100?
One-OffScienceManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 98.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète18 janv. 26, 16:25 UTC31 déc. 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2018).
- It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the species persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
- IUCN Red List assessment
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2099.
- Comment Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2018).