Will the US be perceived as more corrupt in 2026 than 2025?
InflationOne-OffPolitique américaine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 26, 17:47 UTC20 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketUS Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsGas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Corruption Perception Index (CPI) scores and ranks 182 countries on "public-sector corruption perceived by experts and businesspeople".
- Transparency International updates the CPI at the end of January each year.
- In 2025, the United States scored 64 out of 100, a worsening in corruption by 1 point compared to 2024.
- This question resolves YES if the US has a worse score on the CPI for 2026 (i.e. -1 or worse reduction in score), and resolves NO if they stay the same or improve.
