Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
InflationCustomEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69.2%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard14 mai 26, 13:01 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio, commonly known as the Shiller P/E ratio, reaches a value higher than its previous all-time high at any point before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The primary source for verification will be the data provided by the following website: https://shillerdata.com/.
- The Shiller P/E, or CAPE ratio, is a valuation measure usually applied to the S&P 500 index.
- It is defined as the price of the index divided by the average of ten years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
Marchés ouverts
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- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
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- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
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- 359,2 k €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHICPI core in August
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+8 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 7,3 k €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria