Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
40-50 79.9%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète26 déc. 24, 16:06 UTC1 janv. 00, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiWill the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
drawdown measured from the highest value post-2023 https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
Marchés ouverts
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.7pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 91 k €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,6 M €
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down75.3%
- Up24.8%
- Volume total
- 27,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 résultats de plus
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 40-50 à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment How high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : drawdown measured from the highest value post-2023 https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe