Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?
One-OffMacro & EconomyBusiness & Corporate3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 60.8%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 23, 05:29 UTC1 janv. 30, 06:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
KalshiWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
KalshiWhat will Dominos say during their next earnings call?
KalshiRègles
Relative earnings defined as the ratio of earnings between people with a bachelors degree vs high school graduates with no college. 1.768 at the time of posting based on Q4 2022 data.
- myf.red/g/kebh
- Employed full time: Median usual weekly nominal earnings (second quartile): Wage and salary workers: Bachelor's degree and higher: 25 years and over, Dollars, Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted.
- Employed full time: Median usual weekly nominal earnings (second quartile): Wage and salary workers: High School graduates, no college: 25 years and over, Dollars, Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
- Clarification 5/23/26 9:18 AM EDT:
- My intent is not to resolve yes on a single noisy quarterly dip.