KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above -0.8% 88%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
342,3 €
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéSpread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
14 août 26, 16:1516 sept. 26, 12:25
Tendances
0%
0%
Règles
If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & Economy
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-3.0pt72.3%
- No Change+5.5pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 47,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,4 k €
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,100 or below15%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 687,1 k €
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Greed-2.0pt54.5%
- Neutral+20.0pt43.1%
- Extreme Greed-6.0pt0.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 915,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 39 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- US electricity price in August
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US retail sales in August ?
- Kalshi cote Above -0.8% à 88% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand US retail sales in August sera-t-il résolu ?
- US retail sales in August doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment US retail sales in August est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.