PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
54.0 to 54.9 23.9%+2.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
365,9 €
Liquidité
8,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
3 sept. 26, 20:02 UTC5 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026
PolymarketISM Manufacturing PMI in September
KalshiWill the freight transportation services index exceed 137 in July 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 141 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 143 in December 2026?
ForecastExVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiRègles
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 125,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 17,4 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ISM Services PMI - September 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 54.0 to 54.9 à 24% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand ISM Services PMI - September 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026 doit être résolu le 5 octobre 2026.
- Comment ISM Services PMI - September 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- Où ISM Services PMI - September 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.