PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
53.0 to 53.9 24.3%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
61,1 €
Liquidité
10,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
1 sept. 26, 22:22 UTC1 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ISM Services PMI - September 2026
PolymarketUS ISM Services PMI for September
KalshiWill Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?
KalshiWill New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
KalshiWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketRègles
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — ISM Manufacturing PMI in September · At least 51 97%
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21 k €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
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- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 53.0 to 53.9 à 24% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- Où ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.