Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.8%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard1 janv. 26, 03:59 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiWill the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiHow high will the S&P get this year?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
- Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.
- Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.
Marchés ouverts
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.6pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 105,2 k €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 27,510 or above99%
- 28,550 or above98%
- 29,130 or above98%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 102,5 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,650 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
- 7,655 or above+31.0pt99%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 46,7 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.1%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.5%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,9 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+32.1pt99%
- Up-32.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 41,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 38,9 k €
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.