Probabilité implicite actuelle
Down 73%+2.5pt
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15 k €
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
26.0% / 28.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
4 sept. 26, 12:00 UTC8 sept. 26, 20:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWho trades publicly first: OpenAI or Anthropic?
Manifold MarketsWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
LimitlessRègles
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, September 8, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, September 8, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 727,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 703,7 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 969,5 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 906,7 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- BVAN-2.0pt57.8%
- AGEA+3.0pt42.2%
- Volume total
- 170,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 170,1 k €
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- Bitcoin price on September 8?
- How high will BTC get in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? ?
- Polymarket cote Down à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? sera-t-il résolu ?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? doit être résolu le 8 septembre 2026.
- Comment S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, September 8, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.