Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?
Santé et médecineOne-OffSociété et culture3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.8%
Oui 95.8%Prévisionnistes
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Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
19 févr. 23, 01:06 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
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In 2022, the Williams Center released a report about the number of people who identified as Trans in the United States.
- Using data from the CDC's Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Survey, they concluded that .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
- I will resolve this market yes if the next Williams Center demographic report on trans people finds that greater than .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
- I will resolve this market as no if the percentage is less than .6%.
- I will resolve this market N/A if the Williams Center never issues another report.
- (The last report before this one came out in 2016-2017.)
