Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (97.4%)
Résolu: 25 oct. 2026, 13:47
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes97.4%
No2.5999999999999943%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
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Manifold MarketsNintendo Switch Sports Resort: Metacritic score
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if there exists a publicly available, usable by hobbyists, softmod for the Nintendo Switch 2 before market close.
- An unreleased or one-off hack doesn't count.
- Any OS version, game, etc counts as long as it was ever publicly available at some point.
- "soft" - Does not require nontrivial disassembly of the console, does not require specialist tools or devices (including flashcarts), and does not require permanent physical alterations to the console.
- For example, something like the fusee-gelee vulnerability would count because it can be accomplished without disassembly, with everyday hardware (you can use a paperclip or something instead of a jig), and does not require a permanent hardware modification.
- "mod" - Must be able to run nontrivial homebrew code.
