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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
Manifold Markets

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

RégulationIA1a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Kill everyone - Liron 4%
En tête parmi 39 options
Prévisionnistes

301

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 10 heures

Obsolète
20 juil. 25, 4:2620 juil. 27, 4:15

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Kill everyone - Liron4%

Règles

OPTIONS RESOLVE YES IF THEY HAPPEN

Manifold Markets
  • 1 option per person, but if you can credit the prediction about this question to a public person you can add it.
  • Interpret the question the way you find most reasonable.
  • You can explain your choice in the comments!
  • IMPORTANT: the prediction must be realistically verifiable by me (can involve some searching or simple experiment), @Bayesian, in the event that you are not reachable at time of market close.
  • I will N/A options where this is not the case.

Marchés Associés

Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

18,7 k €
December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

626,7 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380,1 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328,1 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

289,5 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

236,9 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,698.33+1.64%EthereumETH$1,653.50+0.83%SolanaSOL$64.95+0.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.73%BNBBNB$597.43+1.52%XRPXRP$1.11-0.32%

Actualités Associées

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Règles

OPTIONS RESOLVE YES IF THEY HAPPEN

Manifold Markets
  • 1 option per person, but if you can credit the prediction about this question to a public person you can add it.
  • Interpret the question the way you find most reasonable.
  • You can explain your choice in the comments!
  • IMPORTANT: the prediction must be realistically verifiable by me (can involve some searching or simple experiment), @Bayesian, in the event that you are not reachable at time of market close.
  • I will N/A options where this is not the case.