Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète7 mars 24, 13:26 UTC31 déc. 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dodo bird be de-extinct by the end of 2028?
FutuurExtinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027?
FutuurWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- Note: The market is about the Koala species, regardless of subspecies.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koala
- IUCN red list of threatened species: https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/16892/166496779
- Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 211 k €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2099.
- Comment Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.