Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
IAOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 80.7%
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète17 mars 25, 23:31 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?
- Resolves based on my personal judgement, in particular whether it is cost- and time-effective for ZeroPath to use it to replace one of our engineers (or accomplish the same amount with fewer people).
- Example tasks it should be capable of:
- "Fix this error we're getting on BetterStack."
- "Move our Redis cache from DigitalOcean to AWS."
- "Add and implement a cancellation feature for ZeroPath scans."
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?