US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?
TechOne-Off2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 23, 18:16 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
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Manifold MarketsUS software developer unemployment in 2027
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
This resolves YES if the National Labor Relations Board (or any successor organization) recognizes a union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by the end of 2026 that either:
- Primarily is a union of software engineers
- OR contains a majority of the software engineers employed at the company's headquarters
- OR contains a majority of the American software engineers employed by that company.
- If any of the mentioned companies merges with or is acquired by another company, the resulting combined company counts for the purposes of this market.
- If any of these companies divests a substantial portion of the company (>10% of employees), then the divested company also counts for purposes of this market.
