Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 déc. 23, 17:51 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2028 than 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.
- If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total.
- Number of launches must be more than to resolve yes.
- If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and would resolve to no.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.