Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 83.4%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète22 mai 23, 17:47 UTC1 janv. 35, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Falcon launch more times in 2028 than 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Falcon 9 launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times.
- The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship.
- Will they launch at least 800 times before retiring the Falcon 9?
- This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions.
- It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times.
- This market does not count Falcon 1.