Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.3%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 23, 20:03 UTC31 déc. 28, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Manifold MarketsWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWill the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
Manifold MarketsTrump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
Rules: If the 14th Amendment is altered or repealed using the process described in the US Constitution, this question resolves to yes.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 714,8 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 295,4 k €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rules: If the 14th Amendment is altered or repealed using the process described in the US Constitution, this question resolves to yes.