Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.2%
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13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète28 juil. 23, 17:25 UTC2 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
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By 2029, will civilians have access to supersonic jets for travel, which involve flying at speeds faster than the speed of sound (approximately 767 miles per hour at sea level)?
- Update 2025-03-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Commercially Available Supersonic Travel Clarification:
- Eligibility: Only non-military individuals booking and taking a flight count.
- Usage: The flight must be for transportation purposes, not just for a one-off experience or test ride.
- Exclusions: Private ownership of supersonic jets or isolated cases (such as an astronaut or a private collector) do not satisfy the criteria.
- Resolution Requirement: A YES outcome requires a commercially available option for supersonic travel by 2029.
