Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 81.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 nov. 22, 00:46 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill any US state ban contraception by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich US state will have African immigrants make up the largest % of its population by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
In the US, suicide is "legal" in the sense that it's not technically a crime.
- But attempting to do it or even talking about doing it can get you imprisoned against your will and/or forced to take mind-altering drugs without your consent.
- Also, anyone trying to help you with it can be charged with a crime.
- So I'm using the term "allowed" instead, to get around its sham legal status.
- This market resolves to YES if someone can decide they want to die and then make it happen without significant inconvenience.
- Otherwise it resolves to NO.
