Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète3 août 24, 15:32 UTC31 déc. 34, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Norway leglize assisted suicide before end of 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill same sex marriage become legal in japan before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiSeltzers with 5mg THC legal on?
PolymarketHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiRègles
Will resolve yes if medically assisted suicide becomes possible for a terminally ill patient with less than a month to live.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,6 k €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2034.
- Comment Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve yes if medically assisted suicide becomes possible for a terminally ill patient with less than a month to live.