Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète17 mai 25, 02:55 UTC2 janv. 27, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketIn which decade will bitcoin reach $1 million?
Manifold MarketsUS Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.
- (en.wikipedia.org) This market resolves to 'Yes' if S&P announces a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to 'AA' or lower before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from S&P.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 569,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 359,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 79,7 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3 k €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.