Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 53 minutes
En retard26 févr. 23, 01:48 UTC10 août 08, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
Manifold Marketswill i get a quantum computer in my lifetime?
Manifold MarketsWill I vote for a national-level Republican in my lifetime?
Manifold Markets💊 What diseases, ailments, or treatments will I get in my lifetime?
Manifold MarketsIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketRègles
See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_verified_oldest_people for background.
- This market ends on the day I turn 125 and therefore become that person.
- Based on the current oldest living person, the earliest this market could resolve as Yes would be 2032-03-04.
- Feb 25, 5:51pm: Will someone live to be 125 during my lifetime? → Will someone live to be 125 years old during my lifetime?
