Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 57.7% au 2 novembre 2026.

Quand Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2150.

Comment Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.3pt98%
• Yes-1.3pt2%

Volume total

1,2 M €

Volume 24h

8,1 k €

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.3pt98%
• Yes-0.3pt2%

Volume total

16,9 M €

Volume 24h

7,5 k €

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M+14.0pt37.9%
• 3.53M–3.56M-8.0pt29.1%
• 3.59M–3.62M-1.0pt13.6%

+4 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+1.0pt99%
• ↑5.5k+1.1pt96%
• ↑6k-1.0pt87%

+13 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

• Before Jan 1, 202989.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202884.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202855.5%

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before December 1, 2026+1.0pt3.5%
• Before January 1, 20275.5%

+1 résultats de plus

Volume total

118,1 k €

• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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• Measles cases in 2026?
• Pandemic in 2026?
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• Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
• Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
• FDA approves Retatrutide this year?