Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard1 janv. 26, 11:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control the Ukrainian access to the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov at the end of 2026?
FutuurRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on liveuamap as the source for determining Russian control of Donbass territory.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 473 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on liveuamap as the source for determining Russian control of Donbass territory.