Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.9%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 23, 15:06 UTC31 déc. 29, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Czechia adopt the euro before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland adopt the euro before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sweden adopt the Euro before 2032?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+6.2pt100%
- September 25+3.0pt89%
- September 30-1.5pt78%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 562,4 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 3010%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 285,7 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt33%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt29%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt12%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.5pt19%
- October 31-0.5pt13%
- September 30-1.9pt3%
+9 résultats de plus
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia adopt the euro before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia adopt the euro before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia adopt the euro before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Russia adopt the euro before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm