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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 25, 14:39 UTC15 août 29, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham be PM at the time the next UK general election is announced?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRègles
Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In early February 2025, a YouGov poll placed Reform UK at 25%, ahead of both Labour (24%) and the Conservatives (21%).
- The party is particularly attracting former Conservative voters, with about 33% of past Conservative voters considering Reform UK.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if both of the following conditions are met:
- Reform UK has the highest percentage in the final YouGov voting intention poll conducted before the next UK general election