Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète29 mars 26, 14:55 UTC15 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it be possible to post to Twitter via Claude's Model Context Protocol by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Google or Meta release a commercial facial recognition search product?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria (strict):
- Resolves YES if OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta publicly releases a model documented with context window >= 5,000,000 tokens by 2026-12-31.
- Must be an official release with public documentation or official product/API announcement.
- Rumors, leaks, unofficial benchmarks, or third-party claims do NOT count.
- If no qualifying official release appears by deadline, resolves NO.
- Primary sources: