Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Criminalité et justiceOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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En retard12 janv. 23, 23:59 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Nick Bostrom (philosopher at the University of Oxford, existential risk researcher) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.