Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 73.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
18 mars 26, 22:43 UTC2 janv. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will MNX still be operating at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?
Manifold MarketsWill Truth Social still be operating 3 years after Trump dies?
Manifold MarketsThere are 9 active farm companies in the USA founded before 1820 on Wikipedia. Will all 9 still be operating EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiNew pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES iff the human brain preservation company Nectome (https://nectome.com/) still exists and is taking new patients at the start of 2032.
- If Nectome still technically exists, but is not able to preserve new patients (perhaps because they are not legally able to do so, or are purely devoted at that point to protecting the patients they've already preserved).
- If Nectome clearly falls apart, I'll resolve NO early, but I will err on the side of waiting to resolve if things are dicey.
- If a company offering human preservation via aldehyde fixation that is clearly descended from Nectome in terms of staff/technology AND that company accepts Nectome prepurchases made in 2026, this can resolve YES even if that company is not named Nectome and/or is technically a distinct legal entity.
