Prévision communautaire actuelle
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35
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 sept. 22, 21:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
KalshiWill Tennessee regulate data center water use?
KalshiWill there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
Manifold MarketsRègles
NASA's Artemis lunar exploration program has several goals to achieve while the astronauts are on the Moon during the Artemis 3 mission.
- One of them is to find and use water, needed for long-term explorations.
- Scientists have predicted in the 1960s that there would be water on the Moon's poles, probably as ice.
- India's first lunar mission, in 2008, helped confirm that there is indeed water on the moon, like ice.
- The challenge now is to find this water and make it usable, as water is a heavy thing to bring on space missions, and having it on-site would make missions easier and cheaper.
- If, during the Artemis 3 mission, astronauts manage to find and to use lunar water this question will be resolved as "yes".
Marchés ouverts
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : NASA's Artemis lunar exploration program has several goals to achieve while the astronauts are on the Moon during the Artemis 3 mission.