Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Non 94%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
516,7 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
15
Commentaires
2
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
NASA has started a moon mission program called Artemis, as a reference to the twin sister of the Greek god Apollo, which named the first moon mission program.
- The program wants to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon and use the mission as a practice to land humans on Mars.
- If, by December 31, 2026, Artemis 3 successfully lands at least one woman and one man on the Moon this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If NASA officially announces there will be no launch attempt for Artemis 3 by the end of 2026, this market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the announcement, with no need to wait until the end of 2026.
- Failed launch attempts will not lead this market to resolve as "No" unless NASA confirms that the following launch attempt will only take place after the end of 2026.