Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 24, 12:59 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurReal person of color exists before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRègles
This is the stated goal of the Artemis program, per the NASA website (at time of posting).
- [image]Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
- Resolves YES once both milestones have been achieved.
- Resolves NO if any other country beats the USA to either of these milestones.
- Resolves NO if Artemis ends, or is canceled (evidenced by Artemis’ Wikipedia not having “present” listed as the Duration’s end).
- “Person of color”, if controversial, will use NASA’s marketing materials (and any statements by the astronauts themselves) as Resolution criteria.