Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.9%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 43 minutes
2 mai 24, 19:17 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Huberman be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2031?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketDaejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by which date?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.
- Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a misdemeanor will be considered a crime for resolution purposes.
- However, an infraction may not count.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.