Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.9%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 mai 24, 19:17 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Mr. Beast become Time Magazine person of the year before the Year 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of a felony in a US court
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.
- Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a misdemeanor will be considered a crime for resolution purposes.
- However, an infraction may not count.
