PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 78%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
142,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
15.0% / 29.0%
Écart
14.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
12
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
4 janv. 26, 17:28 UTC31 déc. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Maduro Prison Time?
PolymarketBen Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022
Manifold MarketsWhich counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
- If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
- The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case.
- Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 855,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- 620,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Maduro guilty of all counts? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 78% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Maduro guilty of all counts? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Maduro guilty of all counts? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Maduro guilty of all counts? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.