Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 87.2%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète18 févr. 26, 17:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The anti-vax market: Which vaccines become less available in the US, 2025-2026
Manifold MarketsCar with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against melanoma before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?
KalshiHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC weaken vaccine recommendation against _____ for children and adolescents in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if US consumers can get the Moderna mRNA flu shot this fall's flu season.
- I will not bet on this market to remain objective in edge cases.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine be available in the US in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine be available in the US in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine be available in the US in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine be available in the US in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if US consumers can get the Moderna mRNA flu shot this fall's flu season.