Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 août 26, 14:50 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal.
- If a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal, the market will resolve "NO".
- A qualifying plea deal is any plea deal where Luigi Mangione agrees to plead guilty or no contest and doesn't reserve any unique appeal rights.
- The resolution of this market will not be affected by the dismissal of other charges against Luigi Mangione or appeals of the dismissal.
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal.