Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.9%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 mars 26, 16:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Katha by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2027?
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2026.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs