Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.5%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard28 mars 24, 07:38 UTC29 mars 54, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?
PolymarketWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiRègles
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Jeff Bezos spends at least 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou (this market) @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out