Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 06:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.3%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète28 mars 24, 08:03 UTC29 mars 61, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a day in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Elon Musk spends 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Elon Musk” is only Elon Reeve Musk, former chairman of Tesla, born on June 28, 1971.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out (this market) @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute