Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86%+16.0pt
Non 86%+16.0ptQualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,1 €
Liquidité
430,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
11.0% / 18.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
29 sept. 26, 23:44 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Jeff Bezos say during Special Report with Bret Baier?
KalshiWill Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.