Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 04:34 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:33 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 260,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-1.0pt10%
- September 30-1.5pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+1.3pt53.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt28.9%
- Naftali Bennett9.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+2.0pt63%
- December-5.5pt41%
- October+6.0pt27%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 202968%
- Before Jul 1, 202868%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt58%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,9 M €
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.