Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 61%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète22 juin 25, 02:04 UTC1 janv. 29, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- The question resolves TRUE if, on or before December 31, 2028, any of the following entities:
- - United States: the President, Vice President, Secretary of Defense, National Security Advisor, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or Commander of a Unified Combatant Command;
- - Israel: the Prime Minister, Minister of Defense, National Security Advisor, or Chief of the General Staff (IDF);
- issues a clear and unambiguous threat to use nuclear weapons against Iran.
- To count, the threat must meet all of the following conditions:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 61% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria: