Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard12 mars 26, 17:52 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ilya Sutskever be involved in mentoring a MATS project in any of MATS 9, 10, or 11?
Manifold MarketsIlya sutskever become a father by 2032?
Manifold MarketsIlya Sutskever and Andrej Karpathy back working together by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Ilya Sutskever be replaced by a body double?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ilya Sutskever Deposition Transcript is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.