Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75.1%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète16 déc. 24, 02:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 19,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+7.0pt98%
- Above 6000+4.0pt62%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 904,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- No-2.0pt95%
- Yes+2.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 513,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 k €
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Nigeria+17.0pt20%
- Rwanda13%
- Republic of the Congo7%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,9 k €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.