Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.8%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète15 mars 26, 19:11 UTC30 sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets?
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PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.
- I do indoor bouldering, sport climbing, and am starting trad climbing this year.
- It needs to be severe enough that I see a doctor, or prevents me from climbing for a month.
- Last year I had two.
- In one I fell and dislocated my elbow, tearing my ulnar collateral ligament in half (but didn't require surgery), which resulted in about a 3 month break.
- In the second I had some weird muscle aches on the other arm that caused me to take a break for about 3 months.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
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- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
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- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I injure myself this climbing season? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I injure myself this climbing season? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will I injure myself this climbing season? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.