Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.2%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 août 23, 23:57 UTC1 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
👽 Will scientists announce a credible potential signal from extraterrestrial intelligence before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
Applies only to the detection of technosignatures that would be emitted by an extraterrestrial civilization anywhere within the Local Group, however defined.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Applies only to the detection of technosignatures that would be emitted by an extraterrestrial civilization anywhere within the Local Group, however defined.