Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète18 déc. 24, 14:13 UTC10 janv. 34, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PolymarketWhich movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?
Manifold Markets3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWhich major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if the trend indicator on Google Trends (or strong evidence with the closest equivalent / best available proxy for this question) exceeds the level it was at in November 2006, before January 1st 2034.
- Here is the current indication on Google Trends as of December 18th 2024 (worldwide / 2004-present):