Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIBM 26.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 25, 08:58 UTC1 janv. 30, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote IBM à 27% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.